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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+6.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.72+4.24vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+2.31vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.74+2.03vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.66+1.36vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.10+1.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.57vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.08+3.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+1.91vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.62-0.72vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.45-4.59vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin-0.26+2.59vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.32-6.67vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.42-0.89vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute0.07-0.93vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.89-4.14vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.50-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.31Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.03Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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6.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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12.09Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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10.28Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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15.59University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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7.33Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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14.11Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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15.07Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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12.86George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Enzo Menditto | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 40.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 19.4% | 15.1% |
| Marc Leyk | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 27.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 7.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.