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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.08+11.53vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+5.44vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.89+10.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+2.57vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.59+1.75vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.03-0.72vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+0.80vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.42+6.33vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10-0.43vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.54+0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-4.37vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.74-5.44vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-5.51vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.32-6.46vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.62-4.57vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.260.00vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-4.80vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.50-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.53Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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13.17George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.28Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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14.33Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.95Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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6.56Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.54Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.43Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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16.0University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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10.78Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Goodwin | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.2% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 7.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chase Decker | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 20.6% | 21.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 50.3% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 6.2% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.