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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.03+4.42vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+5.85vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.74+3.36vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+3.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.54vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.59+0.71vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+0.68vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.08+4.26vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.23+2.82vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.45-2.51vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.89+2.09vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.62-1.32vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.54-2.48vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.10-5.72vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.42-0.58vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.66-9.54vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-4.94vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-0.26-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.85Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.36Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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12.26Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.82Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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13.09George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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10.68Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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10.52Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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14.42Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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12.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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15.86University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| William Hurd | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 10.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 22.6% | 19.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 4.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.