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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+5.80vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+5.41vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.74+3.30vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+1.17vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.59+1.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.69vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+0.58vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.32-0.35vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-2.58vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.62+0.60vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.23+0.95vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+0.33vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.08-0.78vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.54-3.56vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-6.53vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-0.26+0.03vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.42-2.58vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.89-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.3Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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7.65Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.6Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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11.95Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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12.33University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
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12.22Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.44Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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16.03University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.42Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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12.82George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Decker | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| William Hurd | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 50.4% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 21.5% | 21.7% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.