← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.45+6.50vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.59+4.96vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.32+4.90vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.03+1.21vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+1.54vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.74+0.21vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami2.66-0.54vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36-0.60vs Predicted
-
9Webb Institute1.54+1.66vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.18vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College1.23+0.91vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University0.89+1.28vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-5.38vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.08-1.95vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.62-4.67vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin-0.26+0.02vs Predicted
-
17Florida State University0.42-2.54vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island2.10-9.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.5Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.96Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
-
7.9Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
5.21Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
6.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.21Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
-
6.46University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
-
7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
-
10.66Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
-
12.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
-
11.91Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
-
13.28George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
-
7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
12.05Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
-
10.33Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
-
16.02University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
-
14.46Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
8.31University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chase Decker | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.5% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| William Hurd | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 9.7% |
| Landon Cormie | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 5.9% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 50.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 21.2% | 21.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.