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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+5.71vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+5.52vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.74+2.94vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+3.03vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.66+0.11vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.89+5.46vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.59-1.75vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.62+0.83vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-0.99vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.91-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-0.26+3.86vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute0.07+1.72vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.08-2.39vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.34-7.84vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.42-1.95vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.23-5.53vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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5.94Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.1%1st Place
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4.98Harvard University3.030.2%1st Place
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6.11University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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12.46George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.83Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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15.86University of Wisconsin-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.72Webb Institute0.070.0%1st Place
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11.61Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.16Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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14.05Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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11.47Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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11.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 15.2% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 5.3% |
| Chase Decker | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 18.8% | 44.6% |
| Marc Leyk | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 24.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 14.7% |
| William Hurd | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Jasper Reid | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.