Race 1A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tanner Kelly 19.5% 17.4% 18.3% 16.4% 12.2% 8.9% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Kyle Reinecke 27.7% 26.4% 18.0% 12.4% 8.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Nathan Jensen 20.7% 20.1% 18.6% 15.2% 13.3% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Tyler Brown 3.6% 4.5% 5.4% 8.2% 10.2% 12.8% 17.8% 26.1% 11.4%
Sam Riley 6.0% 8.8% 11.1% 11.6% 12.5% 14.0% 18.3% 13.3% 4.4%
Ian Fox 8.9% 10.6% 10.3% 14.0% 15.4% 16.0% 14.1% 8.8% 1.9%
Jamie Lynch 0.8% 0.8% 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 3.3% 5.9% 12.8% 70.0%
Lizzie Cochran 6.2% 5.9% 6.9% 10.2% 12.2% 15.7% 17.6% 17.5% 7.8%
Joshua Bendura 6.6% 5.5% 9.1% 9.9% 13.7% 17.2% 15.3% 18.6% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.