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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+0.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.99+0.44vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.39+2.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-1.39-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.56-0.69vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.51-1.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.41-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.16-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Stanford University2.6155.0%1st Place
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3.24University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.0%1st Place
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3.44University of Hawaii0.9913.6%1st Place
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6.76Arizona State University-0.391.6%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Santa Barbara0.063.5%1st Place
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4.99University of Washington-1.395.0%1st Place
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6.31University of California at Berkeley-0.562.5%1st Place
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6.39Western Washington University-0.512.3%1st Place
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8.0University of California at San Diego-1.411.1%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Davis-2.160.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 55.0% | 28.1% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 15.0% | 22.7% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 13.6% | 20.8% | 21.0% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 7.0% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 3.5% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Emily Smith | 5.0% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 4.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 4.4% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 28.4% | 25.9% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 18.7% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.