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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.85+2.57vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.51+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41-1.12vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81-1.54vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.25-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Middlebury College1.850.1%1st Place
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3.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.510.1%1st Place
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1.88University of Vermont3.410.5%1st Place
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2.46Bowdoin College2.810.3%1st Place
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3.14Tufts University2.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dragone | 8.9% | 13.5% | 20.2% | 26.9% | 30.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.9% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 27.3% | 44.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 46.3% | 29.0% | 16.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| James Rohman | 25.7% | 29.4% | 23.5% | 16.5% | 4.9% |
| Jacob Denney | 13.2% | 19.7% | 25.9% | 22.6% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.