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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.99+4.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.75+0.72vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.15+2.39vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.85vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.61+1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.46-1.25vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08-1.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.22-4.59vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.77-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.72U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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5.39Old Dominion University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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6.19Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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4.75University of Pennsylvania1.460.1%1st Place
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5.52Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.41U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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8.18George Washington University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 6.8% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 27.4% | 25.1% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Riley | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 21.9% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 23.1% | 13.9% |
| Ian Fox | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 4.8% |
| Tanner Kelly | 20.2% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Lynch | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 13.9% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.