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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+1.59vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.46+1.84vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.61+2.24vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.86vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.15-0.70vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08-1.49vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.99-2.33vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.77-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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3.55U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Pennsylvania1.460.1%1st Place
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6.24Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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3.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.3Old Dominion University1.150.1%1st Place
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5.51Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.67Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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8.16George Washington University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 31.4% | 24.0% | 19.3% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Kelly | 14.0% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ian Fox | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 26.3% | 11.8% |
| Nathan Jensen | 23.3% | 22.0% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Riley | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 3.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 4.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 7.6% |
| Jamie Lynch | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 12.4% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.