Race 5A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tyler Brown 4.3% 4.2% 5.5% 7.2% 10.4% 13.3% 17.6% 23.7% 13.8%
Tanner Kelly 15.7% 21.3% 17.6% 16.4% 13.5% 8.4% 4.5% 2.3% 0.3%
Margaux Cowles 6.2% 6.1% 9.6% 12.6% 13.3% 17.2% 16.7% 14.6% 3.7%
Lizzie Cochran 5.4% 7.0% 8.6% 9.8% 13.6% 15.9% 18.0% 16.6% 5.1%
Sam Riley 7.2% 8.4% 12.0% 12.4% 13.8% 13.5% 14.6% 13.4% 4.7%
Nathan Jensen 21.7% 22.0% 19.4% 15.4% 10.1% 7.2% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Joshua Bendura 6.5% 6.4% 7.9% 11.1% 13.9% 17.2% 17.8% 14.3% 4.9%
Kyle Reinecke 32.0% 23.8% 17.1% 13.4% 8.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Jamie Lynch 1.0% 0.8% 2.3% 1.7% 3.1% 3.5% 6.2% 14.0% 67.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.