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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tanner Kelly 18.4% 18.9% 18.9% 18.0% 11.5% 8.8% 3.3% 2.1% 0.1%
Sam Riley 4.7% 5.4% 9.7% 10.7% 15.8% 17.9% 16.8% 13.8% 5.2%
Nathan Jensen 20.0% 22.3% 19.0% 14.0% 13.1% 7.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Tyler Brown 4.4% 4.2% 5.4% 9.4% 10.0% 12.7% 18.6% 24.7% 10.6%
Lizzie Cochran 5.5% 7.6% 10.2% 10.8% 13.9% 12.6% 16.7% 15.3% 7.4%
Kyle Reinecke 32.2% 27.0% 17.6% 11.2% 7.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 5.9% 6.5% 8.6% 11.2% 13.0% 17.1% 17.9% 15.5% 4.3%
Margaux Cowles 7.8% 6.7% 9.1% 12.4% 12.3% 16.9% 15.1% 14.9% 4.8%
Thomas Belcastro 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 2.8% 4.1% 6.9% 12.4% 67.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.