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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.15+4.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.75+0.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.22+0.34vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08+1.34vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.90vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.15-0.74vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.99-1.39vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.61-1.74vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.75-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Old Dominion University1.150.1%1st Place
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2.67U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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3.34U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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5.34Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Pennsylvania1.150.1%1st Place
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5.61Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.26Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.13George Washington University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Riley | 7.0% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 3.6% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 27.9% | 27.2% | 19.1% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Kelly | 18.7% | 19.4% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 22.9% | 22.7% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Margaux Cowles | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 4.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 6.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 24.7% | 13.3% |
| Thomas Belcastro | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 12.4% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.