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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sam Riley 7.0% 5.7% 11.5% 11.1% 13.2% 18.3% 14.3% 15.3% 3.6%
Kyle Reinecke 27.9% 27.2% 19.1% 11.7% 7.3% 3.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Tanner Kelly 18.7% 19.4% 19.5% 15.6% 12.0% 9.5% 3.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Joshua Bendura 6.3% 6.2% 9.5% 13.2% 14.4% 14.5% 15.9% 16.0% 4.0%
Nathan Jensen 22.9% 22.7% 17.6% 14.5% 9.9% 7.0% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Margaux Cowles 6.2% 7.4% 10.4% 10.8% 15.1% 15.4% 18.6% 12.1% 4.0%
Lizzie Cochran 5.4% 5.6% 7.1% 12.0% 14.1% 14.3% 19.2% 16.3% 6.0%
Tyler Brown 4.6% 4.0% 4.1% 8.7% 10.8% 13.7% 16.1% 24.7% 13.3%
Thomas Belcastro 1.0% 1.8% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 5.8% 12.4% 68.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.