Race 8A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tyler Brown 4.6% 3.9% 5.2% 7.7% 10.8% 12.5% 15.8% 28.5% 11.0%
Kyle Reinecke 28.6% 25.9% 17.4% 14.9% 7.0% 4.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Margaux Cowles 6.4% 6.9% 9.3% 11.9% 13.2% 15.8% 19.1% 12.9% 4.5%
Joshua Bendura 6.0% 6.9% 8.8% 11.8% 16.4% 15.2% 15.3% 14.4% 5.2%
Sam Riley 6.6% 8.9% 12.2% 10.3% 13.8% 15.4% 15.4% 12.4% 5.0%
Tanner Kelly 19.3% 18.3% 19.8% 16.2% 11.5% 9.3% 4.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Nathan Jensen 20.3% 23.2% 17.6% 15.7% 11.6% 7.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Thomas Belcastro 1.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 4.2% 7.0% 12.2% 68.0%
Lizzie Cochran 7.0% 5.1% 7.8% 9.4% 13.2% 16.3% 18.5% 16.9% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.