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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sam Riley 6.2% 7.4% 9.0% 11.9% 12.7% 15.6% 17.2% 15.9% 4.1%
Nathan Jensen 16.7% 20.9% 17.8% 17.3% 13.3% 6.9% 4.6% 2.2% 0.3%
Joshua Bendura 5.8% 6.7% 7.9% 10.8% 12.6% 15.7% 19.6% 15.3% 5.6%
Tyler Brown 3.8% 3.6% 6.5% 8.3% 10.5% 12.8% 17.7% 25.2% 11.6%
Lizzie Cochran 5.6% 7.2% 8.9% 9.4% 13.8% 15.1% 15.2% 17.6% 7.2%
Kyle Reinecke 33.5% 24.1% 18.0% 11.9% 7.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Tanner Kelly 18.0% 18.9% 18.7% 16.0% 12.3% 9.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Ian Fox 9.6% 9.6% 11.2% 12.6% 15.2% 16.4% 14.5% 7.9% 3.0%
Thomas Belcastro 0.8% 1.6% 2.0% 1.8% 2.6% 4.0% 5.8% 13.6% 67.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.