← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.15+4.37vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.42vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University1.08+2.53vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University0.61+2.23vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University0.99+0.56vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.75-3.46vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.22-3.57vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania1.46-3.21vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University-0.75-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.37Old Dominion University1.150.1%1st Place
-
3.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
-
5.53Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
-
6.23Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
-
5.56Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
-
2.54U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
-
3.43U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
-
4.79University of Pennsylvania1.460.1%1st Place
-
8.14George Washington University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Riley | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 4.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 16.7% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 5.6% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 25.2% | 11.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 7.2% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 33.5% | 24.1% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 18.0% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ian Fox | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Thomas Belcastro | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 13.6% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.