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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+1.59vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.15+3.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+0.23vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+1.54vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.61+1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.46-1.24vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.08-1.49vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.22-4.57vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.75-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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5.57Old Dominion University1.150.0%1st Place
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3.23St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.54Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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6.21Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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4.76University of Pennsylvania1.460.1%1st Place
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5.51Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.43U. S. Naval Academy2.220.2%1st Place
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8.16George Washington University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 30.2% | 26.0% | 18.8% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Riley | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 5.8% |
| Nathan Jensen | 21.1% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 5.3% |
| Tyler Brown | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 25.0% | 14.0% |
| Ian Fox | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 4.7% |
| Tanner Kelly | 18.9% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Belcastro | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 13.5% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.