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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+4.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.52vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.61+3.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.75-1.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.90vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99-0.48vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.15-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.15-2.75vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.77-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.52U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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6.29Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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2.46U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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3.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.52Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.29Old Dominion University1.150.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Pennsylvania1.150.1%1st Place
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8.12George Washington University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 5.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 14.4% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 25.9% | 12.2% |
| Kyle Reinecke | 32.1% | 27.6% | 19.2% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 24.0% | 21.2% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 15.5% | 5.2% |
| Sam Riley | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 3.5% |
| Margaux Cowles | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 4.4% |
| Jamie Lynch | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.