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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.63+1.23vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College2.88+1.17vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.90+0.17vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-0.59vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University1.95-0.42vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.52-0.89vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.21-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Pennsylvania3.630.4%1st Place
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3.17Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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3.17Princeton University2.900.2%1st Place
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3.41Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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4.58Rutgers University1.950.1%1st Place
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5.11Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.34Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halsey Richartz | 39.7% | 25.3% | 16.4% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 16.7% | 20.6% | 23.0% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Allison Tracy | 16.0% | 22.6% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 14.2% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 16.0% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 8.5% | 1.7% |
| Cassie Botti | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 23.4% | 26.1% | 9.3% |
| Andrew Bergan | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 35.9% | 16.8% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 15.0% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.