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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.18+9.24vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+3.67vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+4.69vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.47vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.13+9.34vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+0.99vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+3.07vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.99-0.92vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-1.38-1.49vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.02-4.09vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.73-0.64vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-3.06vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-2.71vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.54-4.09vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.65-2.55vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.48-5.37vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.16-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.24U. S. Naval Academy1.183.8%1st Place
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5.67Georgetown University2.2013.2%1st Place
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7.69College of Charleston1.815.9%1st Place
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4.47Yale University2.5517.9%1st Place
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14.34Rollins College-0.131.5%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University1.978.2%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University1.223.7%1st Place
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7.08Brown University1.996.9%1st Place
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7.51Jacksonville University-1.387.1%1st Place
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5.91Tulane University2.0210.2%1st Place
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10.36Clemson University0.733.0%1st Place
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10.64George Washington University0.933.5%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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11.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.5%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University0.542.9%1st Place
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13.45Christopher Newport University0.651.2%1st Place
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11.63University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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12.82Northwestern University0.161.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Farley | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.9% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 28.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Ella Demand | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 19.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% |
| Grace Bray | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.