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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.75+1.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.22+1.47vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.61+3.32vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.15+1.16vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.89vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.15-1.70vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.99-2.42vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.77-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56U. S. Naval Academy2.750.3%1st Place
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3.47U. S. Naval Academy2.220.1%1st Place
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6.32Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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5.16Old Dominion University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.2%1st Place
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5.38Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Pennsylvania1.150.1%1st Place
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5.58Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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8.13George Washington University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Reinecke | 31.5% | 25.6% | 19.5% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Kelly | 14.0% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 27.5% | 12.2% |
| Sam Riley | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 3.2% |
| Nathan Jensen | 24.0% | 20.7% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 4.7% |
| Margaux Cowles | 7.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 4.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 6.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 6.2% |
| Jamie Lynch | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.