Race 14A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kyle Reinecke 32.2% 24.9% 18.1% 13.5% 6.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Tanner Kelly 14.6% 20.9% 20.9% 14.7% 13.6% 9.0% 3.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Joshua Bendura 5.0% 6.6% 9.6% 11.4% 12.7% 16.9% 17.5% 15.7% 4.6%
Margaux Cowles 6.1% 8.2% 10.4% 12.5% 16.4% 13.6% 16.0% 13.0% 3.8%
Nathan Jensen 24.7% 20.6% 17.0% 14.8% 11.1% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.2%
Lizzie Cochran 5.1% 7.0% 7.5% 10.8% 14.7% 15.3% 17.9% 16.1% 5.6%
Jamie Lynch 0.6% 0.9% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.7% 6.1% 12.7% 68.9%
Sam Riley 7.6% 5.9% 9.4% 12.2% 14.3% 16.5% 15.7% 13.4% 5.0%
Tyler Brown 4.1% 5.0% 5.0% 8.0% 7.8% 15.6% 18.0% 25.0% 11.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.