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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.91+1.44vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+1.06vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.66-0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.47+2.25vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.29+2.47vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.48-1.39vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.75-0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.95-2.51vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-1.31-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44University of Wisconsin0.910.3%1st Place
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3.06Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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2.76Marquette University0.660.3%1st Place
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6.25University of Chicago-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.47Purdue University-2.290.0%1st Place
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4.61Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.84Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Michigan-0.950.1%1st Place
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6.07Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pickhardt | 32.0% | 24.6% | 23.2% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 19.0% | 23.3% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Brieden | 25.2% | 24.6% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 13.5% |
| Silas Hokanson | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 44.6% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 24.5% | 23.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 5.7% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.