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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.66+1.76vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.91+0.57vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.75+3.84vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.54-1.10vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.47+1.21vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-1.31+0.03vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.48-2.33vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.95-2.54vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-2.29-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Marquette University0.660.3%1st Place
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2.57University of Wisconsin0.910.3%1st Place
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6.84Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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2.9Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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6.21University of Chicago-1.470.0%1st Place
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6.03Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
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4.67Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Michigan-0.950.1%1st Place
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7.57Purdue University-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Brieden | 26.1% | 23.7% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Pickhardt | 28.0% | 27.4% | 21.2% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 22.9% | 23.1% |
| Andrew Michels | 22.9% | 21.7% | 22.8% | 17.4% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 20.5% | 14.5% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 17.1% | 9.9% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.1% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 17.0% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Ward | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 11.3% | 5.7% |
| Silas Hokanson | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 21.3% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.