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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.91+1.48vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.54+1.08vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.66-0.21vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.48+0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.47+1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.95-0.58vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.75-0.16vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.31-1.93vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-2.29-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Wisconsin0.910.3%1st Place
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3.08Michigan Technological University0.540.2%1st Place
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2.79Marquette University0.660.3%1st Place
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4.55Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.21University of Chicago-1.470.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Michigan-0.950.0%1st Place
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6.84Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
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6.07Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
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7.57Purdue University-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Pickhardt | 31.4% | 25.9% | 19.6% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 19.2% | 23.1% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eric Brieden | 26.0% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Alex Strassberg Alonso | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 14.8% |
| Rachel Ward | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 4.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 26.3% | 21.7% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 11.8% |
| Silas Hokanson | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.