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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.79+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.04+0.69vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.12+3.48vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-2.12+2.26vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.39-0.11vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.07-3.50vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-2.26-0.34vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.95-1.96vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.71-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Wisconsin0.040.3%1st Place
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6.48Marquette University-2.120.0%1st Place
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6.26Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Michigan-1.390.1%1st Place
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2.5Michigan Technological University0.070.3%1st Place
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6.66Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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6.04Michigan Technological University-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Chicago-1.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 13.3% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Caden Harrison | 27.3% | 26.1% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Karle | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 22.2% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 19.6% |
| Glen Warren | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 31.2% | 27.3% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Reed Rossell | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 20.6% | 25.9% |
| Joshua Hacker | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 15.4% |
| James Klancnik | 6.1% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.