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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.79+2.90vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.07+0.67vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.04-0.46vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.95+1.97vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.71+0.50vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-2.12+0.37vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-2.26-0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.39-2.99vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-2.12-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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2.67Michigan Technological University0.070.3%1st Place
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2.54University of Wisconsin0.040.3%1st Place
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5.97Michigan Technological University-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Chicago-1.710.1%1st Place
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6.37Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
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6.66Grand Valley State University-2.260.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Michigan-1.390.1%1st Place
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6.38Marquette University-2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 13.8% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 26.1% | 30.0% | 18.2% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caden Harrison | 31.5% | 23.6% | 21.5% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Hacker | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 15.5% |
| James Klancnik | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 10.7% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 20.4% |
| Reed Rossell | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 26.4% |
| Glen Warren | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
| Benjamin Karle | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.