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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University-2.71+4.50vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.13+0.50vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.87+0.70vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.21-1.60vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.17-0.81vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.03-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Villanova University-2.710.0%1st Place
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2.5Drexel University0.130.3%1st Place
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3.7Princeton University-0.870.1%1st Place
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2.4Washington College0.210.3%1st Place
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4.19University of Delaware-1.170.1%1st Place
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2.72Syracuse University-0.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Amspacher | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 13.6% | 74.3% |
| Aidan Gurskis | 27.6% | 27.9% | 20.8% | 15.7% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 10.6% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 25.7% | 27.7% | 7.7% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 29.3% | 26.5% | 25.1% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Coffill | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 38.1% | 14.9% |
| Alexa Whitman | 23.8% | 23.1% | 22.9% | 19.8% | 8.8% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.