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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.13+1.27vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.87+1.45vs Predicted
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3Villanova University-2.65+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.17-0.13vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.03-2.45vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.87-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27Drexel University0.130.4%1st Place
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3.45Princeton University-0.870.1%1st Place
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5.33Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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3.87University of Delaware-1.170.1%1st Place
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2.55Syracuse University-0.030.3%1st Place
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3.53Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Gurskis | 35.4% | 27.2% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 12.3% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 21.5% | 21.2% | 7.7% |
| Ella Kilgore | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 69.7% |
| Olivia Coffill | 9.0% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 28.7% | 12.4% |
| Alexa Whitman | 28.5% | 26.1% | 20.6% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 2.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 11.9% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 23.8% | 23.7% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.