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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-2.84+4.06vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.80+0.52vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.78+0.77vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.93-1.33vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-1.80-1.05vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
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2.52Washington College-0.800.3%1st Place
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3.77University of Delaware-1.780.1%1st Place
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2.67Princeton University-0.930.2%1st Place
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3.95Villanova University-1.800.1%1st Place
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3.04Drexel University-1.190.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alice Kilkelly | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 58.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 29.7% | 26.9% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Anna Servidio | 11.4% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 26.0% | 13.3% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 25.0% | 24.2% | 23.8% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Julia Priebke | 10.3% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 24.5% | 19.4% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 19.8% | 20.6% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.