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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+5.38vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+3.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+4.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+4.29vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+5.25vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+3.93vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02+2.37vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.35-1.14vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-1.55vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-2.70vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.93-2.12vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.71-2.43vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.07-0.96vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.48-7.42vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-6.36vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.81-6.68vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.88-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.29Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.25Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.37Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.86Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.45University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.3Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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10.57Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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13.04Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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10.32Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.9% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Emily Billing | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% |
| Haley Powell | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% |
| Jessica Claflin | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 29.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Katii Gullick | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.