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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University-1.96+2.87vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.80+0.34vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.78+0.56vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.93-1.52vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-1.80-1.25vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-2.84-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Drexel University-1.960.1%1st Place
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2.34Washington College-0.800.3%1st Place
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3.56University of Delaware-1.780.1%1st Place
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2.48Princeton University-0.930.3%1st Place
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3.75Villanova University-1.800.1%1st Place
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5.0Syracuse University-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Pfeffer | 10.1% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 24.0% | 17.3% |
| Imogene Nuss | 34.0% | 27.6% | 18.2% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Anna Servidio | 12.8% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 22.0% | 21.8% | 10.4% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 28.3% | 26.8% | 22.9% | 14.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Julia Priebke | 11.5% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 3.3% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 22.1% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.