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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.60+2.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73-0.54vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.64+3.37vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.25-1.04vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-1.06+2.05vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.39-0.24vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.55vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.86-1.40vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-2.35+0.49vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.80-3.55vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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1.46Brown University2.730.7%1st Place
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6.37Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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2.96Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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7.05Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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5.76Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.55Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.6Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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9.49University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
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6.45University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.42Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cabell | 6.2% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 21.6% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 65.7% | 24.9% | 7.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Blagden | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 14.4% | 30.4% | 25.1% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 6.4% |
| John O'Connell | 2.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Jackson Harney | 0.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 10.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 51.5% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.3% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| Jason Dank | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 24.3% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.