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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.60+2.87vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73-0.53vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.64+3.38vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.25-1.05vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.80+1.51vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.39-0.29vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82+1.44vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.37vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.86-2.30vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-1.06-3.02vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-2.35-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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1.47Brown University2.730.7%1st Place
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6.38Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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2.95Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.51University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.71Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.44Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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7.63Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.7Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.98Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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9.37University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cabell | 6.3% | 16.4% | 22.9% | 21.9% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 65.4% | 25.1% | 7.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Blagden | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 14.4% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 16.5% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
| John O'Connell | 2.9% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Jason Dank | 0.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 24.1% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 11.3% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 4.4% |
| Brett Tardie | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.