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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+0.49vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.80+4.53vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.25-0.01vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.39+1.85vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.60-1.18vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.86+0.71vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-2.35+2.29vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.64-1.90vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.24vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-1.51vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-1.06-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Brown University2.730.6%1st Place
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6.53University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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2.99Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.85Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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3.82Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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6.71Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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9.29University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
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6.1Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.76Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.49Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.97Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Brock | 64.6% | 24.7% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 13.5% | 29.2% | 26.1% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 2.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| John Cabell | 8.5% | 19.1% | 21.0% | 19.3% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 18.9% | 45.3% |
| Andrew Blagden | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 12.5% |
| Jason Dank | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 23.8% | 23.5% |
| Brett Tardie | 1.3% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.