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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+1.90vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.60+1.81vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.73-1.53vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.39+1.86vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.64+1.22vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.86+0.72vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.06-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.80-1.57vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.26vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.82-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-2.35-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Boston University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.81Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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1.47Brown University2.730.6%1st Place
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5.86Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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6.22Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.72Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.95Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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6.43University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.74Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.52Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.820.0%1st Place
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9.38University of New Hampshire-2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 13.6% | 31.8% | 25.2% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 8.4% | 16.4% | 24.4% | 19.0% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Brock | 64.5% | 26.5% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 2.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.0% | 3.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 1.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Brett Tardie | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 2.8% |
| Jackson Harney | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 12.4% |
| Jason Dank | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 22.9% | 23.6% |
| Gavin Tucker | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.