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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+5.44vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+3.69vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.93+6.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02+5.40vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+3.29vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.29+2.44vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.81+3.18vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71+2.38vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-1.37vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.35-2.14vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74-0.35vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.07+0.93vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.51-5.52vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.29-6.66vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-6.36vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.96vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.92-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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9.4Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.44University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.18Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.38Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.86Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.65Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.93Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.48Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.34Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Jessica Claflin | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 30.9% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Emily Billing | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Katii Gullick | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.