← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.82+3.89vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University0.85+6.19vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.46+9.52vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.03+3.77vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.39+1.40vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University0.63+3.16vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75+1.77vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University-0.09+3.44vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.43-2.79vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.03-2.34vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-3.15vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.30-5.21vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75-4.36vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43-7.91vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.92-1.22vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.46-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.89Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
-
8.19Cornell University0.850.1%1st Place
-
12.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.460.0%1st Place
-
7.77Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
-
6.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.390.1%1st Place
-
9.16Cornell University0.630.0%1st Place
-
8.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.1%1st Place
-
11.44Cornell University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
6.21Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
-
7.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.030.1%1st Place
-
7.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
-
6.79Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
-
8.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.0%1st Place
-
6.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.1%1st Place
-
13.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.920.0%1st Place
-
9.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maya Conway | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Tucker Rose | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 21.3% | 24.1% |
| Boris Bialer | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Finn Palermo | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marcus Greco | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Sara Ortiz Vey | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 12.1% |
| Ava Gustafson | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Dante Garcia | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Brook Wood | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Pilar Cundey | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Sam Carson | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Carter | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 47.3% |
| Simona Esposito | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.