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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.03+6.46vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.03+5.55vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.82+1.97vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75+4.82vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.43+1.23vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.85+2.39vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.39-0.54vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.63+0.99vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.46+0.64vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.30-3.22vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.43-4.74vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.75-3.33vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-5.18vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.46-1.51vs Predicted
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15Cornell University-0.09-3.35vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.92-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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7.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.030.1%1st Place
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4.97Cornell University1.820.2%1st Place
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8.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.0%1st Place
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6.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.430.1%1st Place
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8.39Cornell University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.390.1%1st Place
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8.99Cornell University0.630.0%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.460.0%1st Place
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6.78Cornell University1.300.1%1st Place
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6.26Cornell University1.430.1%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.750.1%1st Place
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7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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12.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.65Cornell University-0.090.0%1st Place
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13.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Dante Garcia | 6.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Gilda Dondona | 15.8% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sam Carson | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maya Conway | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Finn Palermo | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Marcus Greco | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Simona Esposito | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Pilar Cundey | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Ava Gustafson | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Brook Wood | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Tucker Rose | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 24.2% |
| Sara Ortiz Vey | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 13.3% |
| Jack Carter | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 17.6% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.