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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.64+2.41vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+2.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+2.39vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.09+3.71vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.62+4.18vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.38+0.84vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.32+4.71vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.74-2.26vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.31+2.79vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.13-2.32vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-4.51vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.82+1.11vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-2.81vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.28-6.94vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.69-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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4.82Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.39Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.71Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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11.71Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.74Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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11.79McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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13.11Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston University1.280.1%1st Place
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8.88Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 24.4% | 22.1% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 22.3% |
| Oliver Keeves | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 19.4% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 20.0% | 44.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 6.3% |
| Dylan Balunas | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.