← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.64+2.41vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.01+2.80vs Predicted
-
3Yale University1.83+2.35vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.74+1.70vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.13+2.68vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.09+1.79vs Predicted
-
7Fairfield University0.69+1.90vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+2.03vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.28-1.94vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.62-0.72vs Predicted
-
11Bates College-0.32+0.83vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.51-5.40vs Predicted
-
13McGill University-0.31-1.12vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.38-7.20vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-0.82-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.41Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
-
4.8Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
-
5.35Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
-
5.7Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
-
7.68University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
-
7.79Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
-
8.9Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
-
10.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
-
7.06Boston University1.280.1%1st Place
-
9.28Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
11.83Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
-
6.6Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
-
11.88McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
-
6.8University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
-
12.89Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 24.7% | 21.4% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 11.0% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 8.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 4.9% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 21.2% | 22.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Tessa Hason | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 22.0% | 21.2% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 19.7% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.