← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.83+4.49vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont1.13+5.54vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.64+0.38vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.28+3.16vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.01+0.15vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.51+0.51vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.09+0.82vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.84-2.42vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University0.62+0.28vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.74-4.10vs Predicted
-
11Bates College-0.32+0.88vs Predicted
-
12Fairfield University0.69-2.72vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-2.69vs Predicted
-
14McGill University-0.31-2.19vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-0.82-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.49Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
-
7.54University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
-
3.38Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
-
7.16Boston University1.280.1%1st Place
-
5.15Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
-
6.51Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
-
7.82Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
-
5.58University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
9.28Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
-
5.9Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
-
11.88Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
-
9.28Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
-
10.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
-
11.81McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
-
12.91Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Lamm | 24.5% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Roman | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Owen Grainger | 10.6% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Oliver Keeves | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 23.0% | 20.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 8.2% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 21.8% | 19.7% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.