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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.13+6.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+3.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+2.38vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.38+1.91vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.01-1.06vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.09+0.66vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.62+1.17vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.28-1.93vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.32+1.89vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.94vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.51-5.42vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.69-3.76vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.31-2.23vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.82-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.38Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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3.41Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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4.94Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.66Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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9.17Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.07Boston University1.280.1%1st Place
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11.89Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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6.58Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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9.24Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.77McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.84Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Keeves | 8.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 24.9% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 23.3% | 21.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 7.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 20.6% | 20.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 19.8% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.