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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.83+4.36vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+4.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+2.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64-0.61vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.01+0.05vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62+3.26vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.51-0.63vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.28-0.90vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.09-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.13-2.35vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.69-2.02vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-1.70vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.32-1.05vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.82-1.11vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.31-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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5.65Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.39Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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5.05Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.26Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.1Boston University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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8.98Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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11.95Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.89Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.72McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 12.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Keeves | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 23.6% | 21.5% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 12.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Balunas | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter Taboada | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 23.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 20.4% | 40.4% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.