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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.64+2.37vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.38+3.73vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.09+3.73vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.83+0.52vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.69+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.13+0.53vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.28-0.86vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.74-3.35vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51-3.51vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.62-1.78vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-1.74vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.82+0.02vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.32-2.20vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.31-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Brown University2.640.3%1st Place
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4.8Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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7.73Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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5.52Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.09Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.53University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.65Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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9.22Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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10.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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13.02Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.8Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.68McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 25.9% | 20.9% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 13.3% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Taboada | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| Cooper Smith | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Balunas | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Keeves | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 6.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 45.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 19.8% |
| Tessa Hason | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 20.7% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.