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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+8.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+5.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+5.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.92+5.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+0.68vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+0.73vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35+0.98vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-0.73vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.07+4.11vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-0.76vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.71-0.28vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-1.61vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-4.38vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.93-5.08vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.29-7.74vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.81-6.74vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.88-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.83Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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6.73Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.98Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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13.11Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.24Brown University3.020.0%1st Place
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10.72Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.39Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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8.26University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katii Gullick | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% |
| Emily Billing | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Haley Powell | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 31.4% |
| Jessica Claflin | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 9.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.