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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.64+2.38vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+3.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.83+2.32vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.09+3.68vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.13+2.62vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.28+1.17vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.32+4.71vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69+1.02vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.31+2.81vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.38-3.08vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-4.51vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.01-6.89vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.82+0.07vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-3.96vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.62-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Brown University2.640.3%1st Place
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5.53Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.32Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.68Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Vermont1.130.1%1st Place
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7.17Boston University1.280.1%1st Place
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11.71Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.02Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.81McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.11Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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13.07Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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9.13Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 26.0% | 20.9% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Cooper Smith | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 21.7% | 20.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 21.3% | 18.7% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jack Roman | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 47.4% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 5.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.