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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+3.88vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.64+1.34vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.13+3.58vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51+1.49vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.28+1.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.09+0.68vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69+0.98vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.38-2.25vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.83-4.48vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-0.96vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.82+1.11vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62-3.59vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.32-2.22vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.31-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.34Brown University2.640.3%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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6.49Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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7.15Boston University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.68Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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8.98Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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5.52Yale University1.830.1%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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13.11Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.41Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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11.78Bates College-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.67McGill University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 26.1% | 20.4% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mathias Reimer | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 43.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 22.8% | 18.8% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.