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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.82+3.59vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+3.49vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.79+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.23+6.92vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+1.19vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.82+1.74vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.17-0.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.40-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.33-3.02vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.77-2.06vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.50+0.67vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.37-0.36vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-3.30vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.20-3.17vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.01-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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5.49Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.64Yale University1.790.2%1st Place
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10.92University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.19Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.74Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.85Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston University0.770.1%1st Place
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11.67Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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11.64Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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10.83Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.28McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 16.3% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 15.3% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Page | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 16.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brayden Benesch | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Harrison Nash | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 25.4% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 21.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 14.6% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.