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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.79+3.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.48+3.44vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.82+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.33+2.00vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.17+1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.23+4.98vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.50+4.57vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.40-2.11vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.52vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.77-2.05vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.82-3.24vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.31-5.68vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.01-2.46vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.37-2.62vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.20-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Yale University1.790.2%1st Place
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5.44Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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4.55Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.57Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.89Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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7.95Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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7.76Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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10.54McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.38Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.83Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 15.4% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Courtland Doyle | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 16.3% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Greer Page | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 24.3% |
| Brayden Benesch | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 22.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.