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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+8.08vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+7.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.45vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.93+5.80vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.35+2.80vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+2.40vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.29+1.26vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-2.25vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+0.98vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.71-0.57vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.71-5.31vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.81-2.84vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-3.36vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-6.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.13vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.07-3.95vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.51-10.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.1%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.8Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.4Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.26University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.43Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.69Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.64Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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13.05Columbia University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Claflin | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Katii Gullick | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Emily Billing | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Amy Hawkins | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% |
| Melissa Bermudez | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 28.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.