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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.10+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.01+1.33vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.090.00vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.72-0.37vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.82+1.41vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-0.63vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.79-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.93-1.69vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.83-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88University of Rhode Island1.1026.6%1st Place
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3.33University of Texas1.0118.4%1st Place
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3.0Connecticut College1.0922.2%1st Place
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3.63Bates College0.7216.4%1st Place
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6.41University of New Hampshire-0.822.4%1st Place
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5.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.155.9%1st Place
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6.29Salve Regina University-0.793.5%1st Place
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6.31University of New Hampshire-0.934.0%1st Place
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7.79University of New Hampshire-1.830.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 26.6% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 18.4% | 18.8% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Craine | 22.2% | 23.4% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 16.4% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 14.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 5.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 21.6% | 13.6% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 23.9% | 13.1% |
| Cameron McLean | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.