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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.48+4.51vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.33+3.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.17+3.54vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.82+0.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+4.52vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.37+5.35vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31-0.94vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.82-0.28vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.79-4.33vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.20+1.00vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.23-0.02vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.40-5.95vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.77-4.89vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.01-3.68vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.50-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Tufts University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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6.54Brown University1.170.1%1st Place
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4.65Roger Williams University1.820.2%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.06Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.72Fairfield University0.820.1%1st Place
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4.67Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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11.0Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.05Tufts University1.400.1%1st Place
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8.11Boston University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.32McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.64Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Doyle | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Edward Herman | 15.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 20.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Alex Adams | 13.8% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 15.6% |
| Greer Page | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 17.2% |
| Brayden Benesch | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.5% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.